This report examines the origins, evolution, and operational logic of Lakurawa, a significant armed group operating in Northwest and North-Central Nigeria. Based on triangulated qualitative data, including key...
Niger
New chapter in Nigeria’s security leadership with Gen Musa appointment
Less than a week after President Bola Tinubu declared a ‘nationwide security emergency’, the defence minister, Mohammed Badaru Abubakar, resigned, citing health issues. On the same day, the president met with the...
Benin’s failed coup as a stress test for democratic resilience in West Africa
The attempted military coup in the Republic of Benin has sent shockwaves far beyond the borders of the small West African state. For Nigeria, Benin is more than just a neighbouring country; it is a country whose...
Guinea-Bissau Coup: Time for ECOWAS to change its geopolitical playbook as West Africa teeters on the brink
Recent events in Guinea-Bissau, where the military abruptly seized total control, dissolved electoral processes and detained President Umaro Sissoco Embaló on 26 November, mark yet another rupture in a region sliding...
Unseen advances, quiet offensives: ISWAP’s strategic resurgence and the limits of Nigeria’s military response
This report examines emerging evidence of a potential resurgence of Boko Haram, particularly its Islamic State-aligned faction, the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP), following a period of relative decline....
ISWAP’s emergence as epicentre of jihadism in West Africa
A new infographic released by ISIS’s Amaq Agency last weekend paints a revealing picture of the group’s global operations during the first half of 2025. The data, drawn from across ISIS's various wilayat (provinces),...
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